Friday, January 27, 2012

An Endorphin Endorsement Rush

Ay Caramba!It is as sure as the tide goes in, the tide goes out: post a story here about Eighth District Congressman Joe Walsh, and watch this blog's web-metrics all shoot through the roof. On the other hand, post a story here about the 10th Congressional District and this blog's page counter actually rolls backward. (This is not a joke as your LakeCountyEye has had more than one reader demand a refund on their page clicks.) So as a public service and at great expense to your LakeCountyEye ... woo-hoo! it looks like there is a donnybrook brewing up in the 10th Congressional District.

There are about 10 Democrats maneuvering there for the opportunity to take on the Republican incumbent, Robert Dold, in the November election. Since no one knows who they are or even any of their names, your LakeCountyEye is at a disadvantage when it comes to handicapping this particular Primary. While they do not pass out tip sheets for elections -- like they do at the track -- luckily there is a rough electoral equivalent for a bewildered voter -- endorsements. And, according to the Patch, there are plenty of endorsements being tossed around in the 10th Democratic Primary:
John Tree also announced the endorsement of former Democratic National Committee Chairman David Wilhelm, Wheeling Township Democratic Chair Kathleen Sances and Palatine Township Democratic Chair Sue Walton.

Sheyman and Schneider have their share of endorsements as well.

Brad Schneider has the backing of Rep. Steny Hoyer (D-MD), the Democratic Congressional whip; former Rep. Melissa Bean (D-Barrington); state Sen. Susan Garrett (D-Lake Forest); and state Sen. Jeff Schoenberg (D-Evanston).

Rep. Jesse Jackson, Jr. (D-Chicago); Rep. Danny Davis (D-Chicago); Rep. Raul Grijalva (D-AZ); and Rep. Keith Ellison (D-MN) are backing Ilya Sheyman.

Tree Raises $101,000 in Fourth Quarter
From this your LakeCountyEye has divined the names of at least 3 Democratic candidates:
  • John Tree
  • Brad Schneider
  • Ilya Sheyman
Both Tree and Schneider have garnered the endorsements of not only some of DC's Democratic power-brokers, but some local heavy hitters as well. Sheyman, on the other hand, has got endorsements from some Chicago Congressmen, as well as from some out-of-state Congressmen who represent the Rachel Maddow Show.

Without knowing anything else about the Democrats in the Tenth district, your LakeCountyEye is ready to call this contest: it's a slam-dunk for Sheyman.

The reason why: Sheyman is the only candidate who seems to appreciate Nixon's Dictum:
Richard Nixon famously advised Republican presidential candidates to run to the right in the primaries and to the center in the general election.
Framing the Republican Race
With Gingrich & Romney battling it out on the Republican side, your LakeCountyEye suspects the only voter who asks for a Democratic ballot in March is that voter who even recognizes names like Raul Grijalva and Keith Ellison. (Provided, of course, that voter remembers to vote.) Ha ha, operatives in the 10th may as well pack up their yardsigns and find honest employment somewhere else. Sheyman will win the Primary there in a landslide -- following the politically right-minded trail blazed by Richard Nixon.


Anonymous said...

No doubt this is going to be a good race to watch unfold. This reader is not Sheyman fan. Great young lad with lots of enthusiasm and energy but his message is very far left in a district that barely moves the needle off of center in either direction. What is more perplexing is that he is getting some pretty good endorsements that will serve him well for a primary race, both the endorsers are not looking past their nose to think about electability for the big game in November. No business experience, no big job, doesn't pay taxes, never owned a home, doesn't have kids in school. Essentially he can not relate to the Independents in his district. Regardless of who the Democratic nominee is, if they want to unseat an incumbent, they will need the Independents in 2012 to succeed.

There are also some pretty interesting State races going on in Lake County too. Amanda Howland is going to go toe to toe against big Dan Duffy.
Terry Link has a race, but he should have no problem keeping his seat. Melinda Bush has to wait to see what she will be up against in the new 31st. Sam Yingling no doubt is going to give Sandy Cole the biggest challenge of her career. Ed Erwin is going to take a stab at not allowing JoAnn Osmond to move into the new 61st. Carol Sente has a formable and popular opponent which isn't going to make re-election automatic.
So this reader is going to keep their eye on the eye for some fascinating tidbits as we of forward.

Barney Baxter said...

hi anon,

Yeppers, with the new district lines, virtually every seat is on the ballot this year -- plus the presidential election. A good year indeed to be an op.